Golf Tidbits: Should we believe Finchem?
Golf Betting Lines
07/02/2009 -
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - PGA Tour commissioner Tim Finchem met the
media on Wednesday at Congressional Country Club, site of this week's AT&T
National, and discussed many subjects.
The biggest topic was drug testing. Finchem announced that one year into
testing, the PGA Tour is clean.
"The players took it very seriously. They got educated," Finchem stated.
"We've had over 1,000 tests in the last year. The testing processes worked
extremely well. The players have cooperated."
Though who gets tested is anonymous unless a player talks about it, one could
gather that every PGA Tour player has been tested. If you combine the 2008 and
2009 money lists, there are over 500 names but many are duplicates.
The drug tests screen for a variety of drugs, but suspensions would only have
been handed down for performance-enhancing drugs. A failed test for a
recreational drug such as cocaine or marijuana would not result in a
suspension.
"I said we have had no positive tests with respect to performance-enhancing,"
Finchem said. "We may have had some test results that trouble us in other
areas that we treat in a different bucket. But we don't publicize those. We
treat those as 'conduct unbecoming.' I'm not saying this has happened or not."
Should we believe Finchem that the tour is clean? I think you can read between
the lines of Finchem's quote and know that the answer is no, the tour isn't
clean.
Obviously, as he states, there were no failed tests for PED's. But the gray
area for the tour, the players and the media alike is those who may have
failed tests for recreational drugs. It is easy to see why those names and
results would not be published.
If someone were to fail a test, that person obviously used illegal drugs.
Charges could be filed, though just as it is with any member of the public,
authorities would have a tough time charging said player though as it would be
tough to prove in which jurisdiction the person may have taken or possessed
the drugs.
Finchem said the testing process has gone from random to selective. If a
player hadn't been chosen randomly, the tour would then choose that player for
testing. Under the current system, the tour has shifted to regular testing.
"We have reason to believe that a player may be using an illegal substance or
may have a substance problem and he's in a program and we want to test him, we
just test him on a regular basis," said Finchem.
"You've got to play by the rules."
Whether players are truly playing by those rules is open to your own
interpretation of Finchem's comments.
BOOM OR BUST FOR GLOVER?
Lucas Glover followed his first major championship win with a share of 11th
place last week at the Travelers Championship. It's hard to say based on that
result whether the U.S. Open victory launched Glover's career, or launched a
drought.
Since Tiger Woods burst onto the scene at the 1997 Masters, there have been
seven multiple major winners and 19 others that have won a single major title.
Three of those 19 had won major titles before Woods turned professional.
Some of those 19 winners have seen their careers go into a tailspin after
their major championship victory. David Duval's plummet in the world rankings
is well documented, though part of that was injury-related.
Since 2002, three major winners have not won another event, four if you
include Glover, who is playing this week for the second time since winning the
U.S. Open.
Rich Beem (2002 PGA Championship), Shaun Micheel (2003 PGA Championship) and
Trevor Immelman (2008 Masters) are winless since claiming those major
victories.
Glover, like Immelman, is young and is still gathering experience. But neither
would he fall into the flash-in-the-pan category, as the win was his second on
the PGA Tour and he has also played on a Presidents Cup team.
It is too early to tell which direction Glover's career will go, but there are
indications based on a solid follow-up performance that his first major
championship win could be the first of many.
MINI-TIDBITS
- There are more financial woes on the horizon for the LPGA Tour. This week's
25th Jamie Farr Owens Corning Classic may be the last and the organizers of
the two-year-old Kapalua LPGA Classic have pulled out of their contract with
financial problems.
- No surprise that Tiger Woods topped the list of highest-earning American
athletes with nearly $100 million earned last year. Phil Mickelson at No. 2 is
a mild surprise, and Jim Furyk's name also made the top 50 at the No. 41 spot.
<< Shane Sellers returns tonight at Evangeline
Opelousas, LA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Retired jockey Shane Sellers begins his
return to the races tonight (Thursday) at Evangeline Downs in Louisiana.
Sellers has been away from racing for 4 1/2 years due to a serious knee
injury.
<< Flames sign Garth Murray
Calgary, AB (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Calgary Flames have signed veteran center
Garth Murray and forward Riley Armstrong.
Terms of the contracts were not disclosed.
Murray appeared in 10 games last season for Phoenix and did not registe
<< Blackhawks sign Madden away from New Jersey
Chicago, IL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Chicago Blackhawks have signed center John
Madden to a one-year contract.
Financial terms of the deal for the long-time New Jersey Devils defensive
standout were not disclosed, but the Newark Star-Le
<< Serena outlasts Dementieva to reach fifth Wimbledon final
Wimbledon, England (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - In one of the best women's matches
played here in some time, two-time champion Serena Williams snuck past Olympic
gold medalist Elena Dementieva on Thursday to reach her fifth Wimbledon final.
The second
<< Creamer withdraws from title defense
Sylvania, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Paula Creamer withdrew from her title defense
at the Jamie Farr Owens Corning Classic before teeing off Thursday.
Creamer injured her left thumb last week and had received treatment on the
injury since wi
Hossa's Cup quest leads him to Chicago >>
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - It's every NHL player's dream to win a
Stanley Cup title, and Marian Hossa is certainly no exception.
Over the past few years, Hossa's travels have taken him from Atlanta to
Pittsburgh to Detroit, and desp
Sister Act 4: Serena, Venus to meet in fourth Wimbledon final >>
Wimbledon, England (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Second-seeded Serena Williams and third-
seeded Venus Williams will square off in Saturday's ladies' final at
Wimbledon, where Venus topped Serena in last year's third all-Williams finale
at the All England
Rockies deal Baker to Cubs >>
Denver, CO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Colorado Rockies traded infielder Jeff Baker
to the Chicago Cubs Thursday in exchange for minor league pitcher Alberto
Alburquerque.
The Rockies had placed Baker on the 15-day disabled list with a
Altidore among seven added to U.S. Gold Cup team >>
Chicago, IL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jozy Altidore was among seven players added to
the United States' Gold Cup roster, a change allowed by CONCACAF for any team
also playing in the FIFA Confederations Cup.
Forward Conor Casey, midfielders
Materazzi signs three-year extension with Inter >>
Milan, Italy (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Defender Marco Materazzi has signed a three-
year contract extension with Inter Milan.
Materazzi, 35, had 12 months remaining on his existing deal but is now under
contract at the San Siro until 2012.
Pacific-10 Conference odds
Teams that should be in: Stanford
Oregon and USC get their tickets punched after taking care of business this weekend. Yes, the Trojans' computer numbers aren't great, but there's no way the third-place team in this league is getting nixed. Grudgingly, I added Arizona after consultation with our Bracketologist. I don't know that Arizona will lose its last three (including a Pac-10 quarterfinal game), and even if the Cats do, I still can't see how they'd be left out, given the overall profile. That said, it bears watching, as three more L's would leave them at 18-12 (9-9) and on a 6-11 skid entering the Dance. It would be nice to see the Wildcats get at least one W in the Bay Area next week, as Cincinnati (albeit without Armein Kirkland and with a worse profile) was axed after a similar slide last season. I just couldn't rationalize having some of the other teams as locks and not having Arizona in that category -- there just aren't enough good teams behind the Cats to threaten their spot, it seems. Stanford has its fate in its own hands with the Arizona schools coming to the Farm to close out the regular season next weekend.
Should be in:
Stanford [17-10 (9-7), RPI: 40, SOS: 21] No shame in not getting a win in L.A., but that makes the home game against Arizona State a must-win ahead of what could be an intriguing meeting with Arizona should the Cats lose at Cal. Getting to 11 Pac-10 wins would make Selection Sunday much more comfortable, but 10's probably more than enough this season. The Cardinal have nonconference wins over Texas Tech and at Virginia to lean on, although they also lost badly to Air Force and Santa Clara at home.
| Southeastern Conference odds |
Work left to do: Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi, Mississippi State
It looks more and more possible that no one from the SEC West will make the NCAAs. How weird is that? Tennessee and Vandy move into the locks category after more good work this weekend. Kentucky stays there, although it would be smart for the Cats to handle Georgia at home Wednesday ahead of a trip to the Swamp. Could a disaster scenario (two more L's and a first-round SEC tourney exit) somehow dislodge the Cats despite their incredible computer numbers? Still unlikely, but not worth chancing it.
Work left to do:
Alabama [19-9 (6-8), RPI: 43, SOS: 47] The tough L at Tennessee was understandable, and even created some hope. Unfortunately, that hope was dashed by a home loss to Auburn, which leaves the Tide in some real trouble. There's still no signature win on the profile (no, Kentucky doesn't count), and the computer profile is weakening rapidly. The Tide conceivably could beat Ole Miss and win at Miss. State to get to 8-8 and clinch at least a share of the West crown, but that's probably not enough right now. The Tide will need to do some work in the SEC tourney.
Georgia [16-10 (8-6), RPI: 52, SOS: 23] This is the team with the best chance to make it from this section right now. The Bulldogs rebounded from a terrible performance at Ole Miss to beat down Miss. State. Now they are at Kentucky (king of the RPI 51-100 win) and home to Tennessee. That would be worth a lot of computer points to get both (which is doable), as both teams are in the top 11 in RPI. Finishing at least 9-7 is an absolute must, and I would feel much better about the Dawgs' chances if they got both to get to 10 SEC wins. They also beat Gonzaga, but lost to ACC bubblers Georgia Tech and Clemson.
Mississippi [18-10 (7-7), RPI: 63, SOS: 79] Like everyone else in this division, Ole Miss gacked up a chance to stake a claim, losing by double figures at South Carolina. Even 9-7 likely is not nearly enough with a nonconference profile devoid of anything notable.
Mississippi State [16-11 (7-7), RPI: 66, SOS: 37] With a chance to get in the mix, these Bulldogs were leashed by their Georgia counterparts. Could they get to 9-7? I guess -- although winning at Arkansas, then beating Alabama is no lock -- but would that mean all that much for a team with this overall profile? Probably not. There's nothing of note (on the good side) in the nonconference profile. |
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NFL Football Betting Online
Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?
I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.
Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.
There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.
Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.
For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.
A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.
The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.
Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.
So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.
Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.
“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.
Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.
“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.
It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.
Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.
The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.
“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.
“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”
Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.
The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.
“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”
Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?
“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”
Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.
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